Unfortunately,
interpretation of simple loss ratios applied to long-term care
insurance is not straightforward and may be misleading. Computed
loss ratios may be very low in the early years of long- term
care policies, since premiums are usually collected several
years in advance of expected benefit payments. Thus initial
payouts to the consumer may be quite low, whereas the long-range
liability of the insurer may be substantial. The buildup of
reserves for the younger age population is a crucial element
in lowering premium costs, but the application of annual minimum
loss ratios does not take that into account. With these limitations
in mind, the NAIC advisory committee recommends that no specific
minimum loss ratio be set and that regulators evaluate loss
ratios over the entire period for which rates are calculated.
(Lynn Paringer, 1995.)