Third, the
rising cost of long- term care presents special problems. The
price of nursing home and home care is likely to rise faster
than general inflation. Over the thirty or more years during
which people might provide for their long- term care needs,
the real cost increases can accumulate to very large sums. That
cumulative cost increase not only raises the amount that people
of working age have to save to provide reasonable protection
in old age; it also magnifies the financial risks for both the
user and the supplier of insurance. If the long- term care insurance
provides only a fixed dollar benefit (for example, $50-aday
in a nursing home), the buyer is at risk for the unplanned inflation
in the cost of care. If nursing home fees increase 5.8 percent
a year, a $50-a-day indemnity payment needs to grow to more
than $271 a day to maintain its purchasing power after thirty
years. If the insurance provides a service benefit (that is,
the actual cost of care minus any cost-sharing), the insurance
company or the government is uncertain how much should be charged
for premiums or taxes to cover expenses in future years.
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